Israel’s population growth rate is expected to drop below one percent in 2025 for the first time since the country’s founding, according to a new report from the Taub Center for Social Policy Studies.
The report estimates growth at just 0.9%, a historic low. Previously, Israel’s growth rate dipped below 1.5% only twice, both in the early 1980s. Researchers say the primary driver behind the decline is negative net migration.
In 2024, approximately 82,700 Israelis left the country — about 50,000 more than those who immigrated. Demographers expect that trend to continue through 2025, significantly impacting overall population growth.
While Israel’s birth rate remains relatively high compared to other Western nations, it has stabilized in recent years. At the same time, the country’s death rate is slowly rising, further contributing to the slowdown.
The findings highlight a significant demographic shift and raise questions about long-term economic, social and workforce implications if migration trends do not reverse.
