Ultra-Orthodox lawmakers are increasingly acknowledging that a controversial bill granting broad military draft exemptions to yeshiva students is unlikely to pass, raising the chances of early elections, according to a Channel 12 report.

The report says recent talks between Haredi members of Knesset and the legal adviser to the parliamentary committee overseeing the legislation have stalled without progress. As a result, frustration is growing among ultra-Orthodox parties within the governing coalition.

Haredi leaders had been promised progress on the bill, which would formalize long-standing exemptions from mandatory military service. However, legal and political obstacles, along with public opposition, have made passage increasingly unlikely.

Channel 12 reports that Haredi lawmakers now believe coalition partners will not be able to deliver on the legislation, leading them to reassess their support for the government.

This growing dissatisfaction has increased speculation that elections could be moved up. While no official date has been set, the network says elections could potentially be held as early as June or September.

The draft issue has been a persistent flashpoint in Israeli politics, particularly during wartime, as debates intensify over equal burden-sharing and national service.

If the coalition collapses over the failed legislation, Israel could soon face another round of elections, adding further uncertainty to an already volatile political landscape.

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